Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 2435.606259 2631.600671 2828.471837 3040.738060 3262.821648 3488.008723 3733.294562
2025-12-14 2092.521312 2384.972578 2688.252343 3025.037086 3387.376069 3764.355822 4185.082929
2025-12-21 1839.575909 2187.347101 2557.067657 2976.879048 3437.889211 3926.420739 4480.952740
2025-12-28 1750.673579 2151.273375 2585.348183 3086.519913 3645.195239 4245.090715 4934.221004
2026-01-04 1641.066414 2080.040774 2564.207202 3131.784810 3773.056736 4469.717990 5278.385381
2026-01-11 1526.015021 1993.106850 2517.108745 3140.234782 3853.086286 4635.790248 5552.900932
2026-01-18 1425.050833 1915.228370 2474.009518 3147.365174 3926.487838 4790.201861 5810.741988
2026-01-25 1336.345238 1846.020362 2435.946886 3155.708619 3997.309999 4938.483527 6058.987061
2026-02-01 1238.954615 1760.723411 2374.128635 3131.938155 4027.307480 5037.249632 6248.502372
2026-02-08 1164.579319 1699.446489 2337.373423 3134.487117 4085.158586 5165.707951 6470.078763
2026-02-15 1084.186090 1626.434890 2282.858248 3112.624846 4111.601369 5255.727346 6645.720784
2026-02-22 1046.117316 1604.958097 2289.623898 3163.082578 4222.474159 5443.009237 6933.200793
2026-03-01 987.783812 1555.842727 2261.555291 3171.398369 4284.224836 5574.904709 7159.493569
2026-03-08 921.984914 1493.972714 2215.205522 3155.425905 4315.502029 5670.275704 7343.020487
2026-03-15 846.356206 1415.170017 2144.174301 3105.961615 4303.756272 5712.784426 7462.899840
2026-03-22 845.110865 1437.122868 2202.466072 3218.569035 4490.166739 5991.649293 7862.316266
2026-03-29 816.838366 1420.202613 2209.106273 3265.047284 4594.763668 6172.428179 8145.669362
2026-04-05 775.222068 1382.603437 2187.061920 3273.723045 4651.667548 6295.268219 8359.805471
2026-04-12 735.701801 1346.081042 2164.940770 3281.043790 4705.927643 6414.273088 8568.993831
2026-04-19 699.061828 1311.964874 2144.665272 3289.609771 4760.885151 6533.559549 8778.215696
2026-04-26 652.663174 1261.311670 2100.248968 3265.204729 4773.144811 6599.944241 8923.178368
2026-05-03 618.495217 1227.264199 2077.239510 3267.821823 4818.765093 6706.574347 9116.380063
2026-05-10 577.855872 1181.397423 2036.313057 3245.374522 4831.402993 6771.887937 9258.971860